000			02035cam a2200289 4500
001			9289010363
020			_a9289010363
035			_a(Sirsi) 9289010363
060			_aW 84 GA1
245	0	0	_aHealth projections in Europe : _bmethods and applications.
260			_aCopenhagen : _bWHO Regional Office for Europe, _c1986.
300			_a306 p.
520	3		_aA highly instructive account of different methods for projecting health trends, forecasting changes in the incidence of disease, and predicting future demands on health resources. The book, which is the culmination of a study involving more than 60 epidemiologists and statisticians, provides both an inventory of available projection methods and a practical guide to their use at various levels in different countries. Emphasis in placed on the use of these relatively new methods as tools for efficient and exact health planning. The book features 23 chapters organized into four main parts. The first three parts cover projections of health status, projections of health resources and their use, and interactive models and other systems approaches. Specific applications include the prediction of cancer incidence and prevalence, prediction of mortality from cardiovascular disease, and projections of the number of hospital admissions and beds. Where possible, sufficient information on projection methods is given to enable the reader to apply the same approach in a different situation. Chapters in the final part examine the application of projections and forecasts to health planning in different European countries.
535			_aDC.EURO
546			_aeng.
550			_aWHODOC
561			_aWHO monograph
596			_a4
650	0	2	_aHealth planning.
650	0	2	_aPlanning techniques.
650	0	2	_aForecasting.
651		2	_aEurope.
690			_aOrganization of Health Care and Social Development.
710	2		_aWorld Health Organization. _bRegional Office for Europe.
008			870310s1986 eng
942			_2NLM _cMONOGRAPH
999			_c10598 _d10598